Economic Forecasting

Predicting the German Economy: Headline Indices under Test, Journal of Business Cycle Research, 17(2), 2021, 215-232, (joint with M. Reif)

Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad, Economic Modelling, 98, 2021, 109-117, (joint with C. Grimme and M. Nöller)

Forecasting Exports across Europe: What are the Superior Survey Indicators? Empirical Economics, 60(5), 2021, 2429-2453

Forecasting GDP all over the World using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data, Applied Economics, 51(54), 2019, 5802-5816, (joint with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe)

Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany, Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 10(2), 2017, 161-175, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Experts, Firms, Consumers or even Hard Data? Forecasting Employment in Germany, Applied Economics Letters, 24(4), 2017, 279-283, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results helpful? Journal of Business Cycle Research, 12(1), 2016, 81-117, (joint with A. Weyh)

Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany, Applied Economics Letters, 23(17), 2016, 1229-1233, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony, Review of Economics, 66(1), 2015, 71-98, (joint with S. Henzel and K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with many Predictors, German Economic Review, 16(2), 2015, 226-254, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Regional Economic Forecasting: State-of-the-Art Methodology and Future Challenges, Economics and Business Letters, 3(4), 2014, 218-231, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting Gross-Value Added at the Regional Level: Are Sectoral Disaggregated Predictions Superior to Direct Ones? Review of Regional Research, 34(1), 2014, 61-90, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecast Evaluation

The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey, Journal of Business Cycle Research, 19(1), 2023, 43-94

The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution, German Economic Review, 21(2), 2020, 235-270, (joint with T. Wollmershäuser)

Economics of Technological Change

The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT, European Economic Review, 149, 2022, 104277, (joint with S. Elstner, C. Grimme and V. Kecht)

Political Economy

On the Political Economy of National Tex Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from OECD Countries, Public Choice, 170(3), 2017, 211-230, (joint with B. Jochimsen)

Economics of Migration

Explaining Spatial Patterns of Foreign Employment in Germany, Regional Studies, 53(7), 2019, 991-1003, (joint with W. Nagl)

Agglomeration Economies

Marshall or Jacobs? New Insights from an Interaction Model, Review of Regional Research, 33(2), 2013, 107-133, (joint with J. Kluge)

German Mittelstand

Is the German Mittelstand more Resistant to Crises? Empirical Evidence from the Great Recession, Small Business Economics, 59(3), 2022, 1169-1195, (joint with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn), Media Coverage:  Deutscher Mittelstands-Bund (DMB)


Election Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls, Kyklos, 73(2), 2020, 227-252, (joint with X. Frei, S. Langer and F. Rösel)

Journal Rankings

An Elo Ranking for Economics Journals, Economics Bulletin, 37(4), 2017, 2282-2291, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Who is the 'Journal Grand Master'? A New Ranking based on the Elo Rating System, Journal of Informetrics, 11(3), 2017, 800-809, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)