Publications
Economic Forecasting
Predicting the German Economy: Headline Indices under Test
Journal of Business Cycle Research, 17(2), 2021, 215-232, (joint with M. Reif)
Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad
Economic Modelling, 98, 2021, 109-117, (joint with C. Grimme and M. Nöller)
Forecasting Exports across Europe: What are the Superior Survey Indicators?
Empirical Economics, 60(5), 2021, 2429-2453
Forecasting GDP all over the World using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data
Applied Economics, 51(54), 2019, 5802-5816, (joint with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe)
Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany
Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 10(2), 2017, 161-175, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Experts, Firms, Consumers or even Hard Data? Forecasting Employment in Germany
Applied Economics Letters, 24(4), 2017, 279-283, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results helpful?
Journal of Business Cycle Research, 12(1), 2016, 81-117, (joint with A. Weyh)
Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany
Applied Economics Letters, 23(17), 2016, 1229-1233, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony
Review of Economics, 66(1), 2015, 71-98, (joint with S. Henzel and K. Wohlrabe)
Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with many Predictors
German Economic Review, 16(2), 2015, 226-254, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Regional Economic Forecasting: State-of-the-Art Methodology and Future Challenges
Economics and Business Letters, 3(4), 2014, 218-231, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Review of Regional Research, 34(1), 2014, 61-90, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Forecast Evaluation
The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey
Journal of Business Cycle Research, 2022, forthcoming
German Economic Review, 21(2), 2020, 235-270, (joint with T. Wollmershäuser)
Economics of Technological Change
The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT
European Economic Review, 149, 2022, 104277, (joint with S. Elstner, C. Grimme and V. Kecht)
Political Economy
On the Political Economy of National Tex Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from OECD Countries
Public Choice, 170(3), 2017, 211-230, (joint with B. Jochimsen)
Economics of Migration
Explaining Spatial Patterns of Foreign Employment in Germany
Regional Studies, 53(7), 2019, 991-1003, (joint with W. Nagl)
Agglomeration Economies
Marshall or Jacobs? New Insights from an Interaction Model
Review of Regional Research, 33(2), 2013, 107-133, (joint with J. Kluge)
German Mittelstand
Is the German Mittelstand more Resistant to Crises? Empirical Evidence from the Great Recession
Small Business Economics, 59(3), 2022, 1169-1195, (joint with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn)
Media Coverage: Deutscher Mittelstands-Bund (DMB)
Elections
Election Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls
Kyklos, 73(2), 2020, 227-252, (joint with X. Frei, S. Langer and F. Rösel)
Journal Rankings
An Elo Ranking for Economics Journals
Economics Bulletin, 37(4), 2017, 2282-2291, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)
Who is the 'Journal Grand Master'? A New Ranking based on the Elo Rating System
Journal of Informetrics, 11(3), 2017, 800-809, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)