Economic Forecasting

Predicting the German Economy: Headline Indices under Test

Journal of Business Cycle Research, 17(2), 2021, 215-232, (joint with M. Reif)

Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad

Economic Modelling, 98, 2021, 109-117, (joint with C. Grimme and M. Nöller)

Forecasting Exports across Europe: What are the Superior Survey Indicators?

Empirical Economics, 60(5), 2021, 2429-2453

Forecasting GDP all over the World using Leading Indicators based on Comprehensive Survey Data

Applied Economics, 51(54), 2019, 5802-5816, (joint with J. Garnitz and K. Wohlrabe)

Boosting and Regional Economic Forecasting: The Case of Germany

Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, 10(2), 2017, 161-175, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Experts, Firms, Consumers or even Hard Data? Forecasting Employment in Germany

Applied Economics Letters, 24(4), 2017, 279-283, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting Employment in Europe: Are Survey Results helpful?

Journal of Business Cycle Research, 12(1), 2016, 81-117, (joint with A. Weyh)

Looking into the Black Box of Boosting: The Case of Germany

Applied Economics Letters, 23(17), 2016, 1229-1233, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Nowcasting Regional GDP: The Case of the Free State of Saxony

Review of Economics, 66(1), 2015, 71-98, (joint with S. Henzel and K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with many Predictors

German Economic Review, 16(2), 2015, 226-254, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Regional Economic Forecasting: State-of-the-Art Methodology and Future Challenges

Economics and Business Letters, 3(4), 2014, 218-231, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecasting Gross-Value Added at the Regional Level: Are Sectoral Disaggregated Predictions Superior to Direct Ones?

Review of Regional Research, 34(1), 2014, 61-90, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Forecast Evaluation

The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey

Journal of Business Cycle Research, 19(1), 2023, 43-94

The Macroeconomic Projections of the German Government: A Comparison to an Independent Forecasting Institution

German Economic Review, 21(2), 2020, 235-270, (joint with T. Wollmershäuser)

Economics of Technological Change

The Diffusion of Technological Progress in ICT

European Economic Review, 149, 2022, 104277, (joint with S. Elstner, C. Grimme and V. Kecht)

Political Economy

On the Political Economy of National Tex Revenue Forecasts: Evidence from OECD Countries

Public Choice, 170(3), 2017, 211-230, (joint with B. Jochimsen)

Economics of Migration

Explaining Spatial Patterns of Foreign Employment in Germany

Regional Studies, 53(7), 2019, 991-1003, (joint with W. Nagl)

Agglomeration Economies

Marshall or Jacobs? New Insights from an Interaction Model

Review of Regional Research, 33(2), 2013, 107-133, (joint with J. Kluge)

German Mittelstand

Is the German Mittelstand more Resistant to Crises? Empirical Evidence from the Great Recession

Small Business Economics, 59(3), 2022, 1169-1195, (joint with M. Berlemann and V. Jahn)

Media Coverage:  Deutscher Mittelstands-Bund (DMB)


Election Externalities in Federations - Evidence from German Opinion Polls

Kyklos, 73(2), 2020, 227-252, (joint with X. Frei, S. Langer and F. Rösel)

Journal Rankings

An Elo Ranking for Economics Journals

Economics Bulletin, 37(4), 2017, 2282-2291, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)

Who is the 'Journal Grand Master'? A New Ranking based on the Elo Rating System

Journal of Informetrics, 11(3), 2017, 800-809, (joint with K. Wohlrabe)